*UNAIDS Regional Support Team Eastern and Southern Africa Tracking Universal Access
HIV Epidemic Trends
There has been little change in national prevalence in Mozambique since 2004 (Figure 2) so national levels may have stabilized, but regional epidemics in the South especially are still growing. Most infections are in young people, and young women are bearing an increasing burden of HIV with 3 times the prevalence rates as young men.
After reaching a peak in 2004 (15.6%) antenatal prevalence in young women (15-24 years) seems to have decreased in 2007 (11.3%). This may mean that incidence is lowering in this group, and data from the 2009 sentinel surveillance survey will confirm if this is a real downward trend. The latest modeling data for incidence shows that 23% of new infections are from casual partnerships, and 48% from more long term partnerships. There are important sources of new infections that haven’t been addressed by prevention including sex work (19% of new infections), injecting drug use (3%) and sex between men (5%).
The prevalence of HIV among antenatal clients (Aged 15-24 years) from 2000 to 2007 (Data from Monitoring of the Declaration of Commitment on HIV/AIDS, Mozambique Country Report, January 2008) | 
